Durban case study analysis

Douglas College student research essay submitted as partial requirement for Geography 2311 course as part of the STEP UP (Student Teams Exploring Pervasive Urban Problems) program. Faculty sponsor to submit this research essay to DOOR is: Michael McPhee.

Like all cities on our planet Durban is subjected to the effects of climate variability. Since 2001,the city has had an increase in 660,000 residents, with a large percentage of those being affected by poverty. As global warming continues, the temperatures in Durban are predicted to increase by 1.5-2.5 degrees by 2065 and 3-4 degrees by 2100. (Institute, 338) Additionally, further projections signify that there will be an increase in aggressive and intensive rainfall by 2065, and up to 500 more millimeters of rainfall by 2100; which equates to 2.6 feet of rain per year. (Institute, 338) This will result in more frequent, severe, and dramatic storms and rainfall events, which leads to stronger stream flow intensity from the process of excess surface runoff. (Institute, 338) On top of extreme weather, Durban may also face rising ocean water levels, species extinctions, topsoil reduction or loss, vector-borne diseases, and potential reductions in agricultural yields (Institute, 338). To mitigate these climate change impacts, Durban must plan to implement reactive and proactive steps such as protective measures, accommodations, retreats, or avoidance of hazards.